The world is on a perilous path, with a 'very likely' trajectory to surpass the critical 1.5C climate goal within the next decade, according to the United Nations. This alarming prediction comes despite the Paris Agreement's ambitious pledges, highlighting a persistent failure of nations to meet their climate commitments. The UN's Emissions Gap Report reveals a stark reality: global climate action plans are falling short, with the planet on track to warm by 2.5C this century, far exceeding the necessary threshold to address the climate crisis. The report underscores the urgency, emphasizing that current policies will result in a 2.8C temperature rise by 2100. This crisis is set to dominate the upcoming UN climate conference in Brazil, COP30, where global leaders will grapple with the dire consequences of inaction. The report highlights a concerning trend: global emissions increased by 2.3% in 2024, with India, China, Russia, and Indonesia driving the surge. However, the G20 economies, responsible for three-quarters of global emissions, have shown mixed results, with only the European Union reducing greenhouse gases. The United States, under the Trump administration, has diverged from its climate commitments, with plans to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, adding to the warming challenge. The UNEP's findings emphasize the critical importance of every fraction of a degree, as scientists warn that warming above 1.5C risks catastrophic consequences. The report calls for accelerated and decisive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to minimize the projected overshoot, urging world leaders to act swiftly to safeguard our planet's future.
UN Climate Report: World to Exceed 1.5°C Target in the Next Decade (2025)
References
- https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2025/nov/04/nationals-littleproud-net-zero-emissions-claims-real-or-spin
- https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/4/world-very-likely-to-exceed-1-5c-climate-goal-in-next-decade-un
- https://road.cc/content/news/cycling-industry-doing-enough-climate-action-316635
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